After the third round of the World Technical Championships in Mayakoba, Russell Henry dominated first and led by six (22 under).
Now, we’re looking forward to Sunday’s fourth round with plenty of prop angles to attack PrizePicks.
Below, I present my five PrizePicks flex contests from the fourth round of the World Wide Technology Championship in Mayakoba. For those unfamiliar with flexible play in golf, different combinations of high and low result in different payouts.
Using the five games below, get 5 out of 5 right at 10x, 4 out of 5 at 2x and 3 out of 5 at 0.4x.
The El Camaleon Golf Course at the Mayakoba Resort in Playa del Carmen, Mexico is hosting the event for the 16th consecutive year. Looking at the top of the previous leaderboard, the metrics that indicate the greatest likelihood of success for this course include SG: Putting and Green Adjustment Percentage (GIR%).
El Camaleon is a shorter course, par 71 and 7,034 yards long, that favors strong greens players. After going 4-1 on Saturday, we’ll be back in the well of four winners and replace the missed Scottie Scheffler prop.
Mayakoba World Technical Championship Round 4 PrizePicks Competition
Aaron Wise: 4-under 67.5
On Sunday, we’ll be backing a few golfers, starting with Aaron Wise, who was 8 under and tied for 41st. After shooting 67s in two of the first three rounds, we should expect Wise to continue his strong showing on Sunday.
No ShotLink data is available for this event, which means that understanding golfers’ styles and metrics from past events/seasons will be our primary way of limiting this tournament. On the tour this season, Wise is 19th in SG: Putting and 21st in GIR%.
Wise enters this tournament in excellent form as he has made seven straight cuts from last season. This season, he has made the cut twice, including his sixth-place finish in the CJ Cup in South Carolina.
At El Camaleon, he has made four of his last five promotions, having finished tied for 15th in all three previous promotions. In 2020, Wise finished second in this competition.
I would bring this total down to 67.
Seamus Power: 4-under 67.5
Another golfer we supported in the fourth round was Seamus Power, who finished fourth at 15 under after a great Saturday.
After hitting a 67 or lower in two of the first three rounds, we should expect Power to continue to lead on Sunday. Power got off to a strong start to the season with three of four cuts. He also came straight from his Butterfield Bermuda Championship victory.
On the tour this season, he ranks 12th in SG: Putts. On the PGA Tour last season, he was 40th in SG:Put and 27th in GIR%.
Power played well at El Camaleon, where he finished 11th last season and 28th in 2016. Power now has a 67 or higher in four of the past six rounds.
I would bring that number down to 67.
Colin Morikawa: Over 10 hits in round 4
We’ll also be supporting several golfers from the tee on Sunday, starting with Colin Morikawa, who is tied for 16th at 11 under.
Part of his good results this week are a direct result of accurate drivers. Morikawa has averaged north of 10 fairways in his first three rounds, and we should expect him to continue on Sunday.
On the tour this season, Morikawa ranks eighth in drive accuracy. Last year, he ranked 29th with an excellent 65.3 percent drive accuracy.
I wouldn’t play this total over 10.
Matt Kuchar: Over 8.5 hits in round 4
The other golfer we’re going off the tee is Matt Kuchar. Heading into the fourth round, Kuchar was tied for 35th at 9 under, hitting an average of less than eight fairways per round.
Despite a poor start to the week after kickoff, Kuchar saw a positive return on Saturday and should continue to do so on Sunday. At El Camaleon last year, he averaged more than 10 fairways and finished tied for 22nd.
Kuchar’s history as a terrific driver should play a role in this expected positive comeback. On the tour this season, Kuchar ranks 37th in drive accuracy.
Last year, he ranked 50th in driving accuracy (63.5 percent).
I wouldn’t play with numbers higher than 8.5.
Bohosler: Under 7.5 fairway hits in 4th round
On Sunday, we will also have a golfer, Beau Hossler, off the tee. Hossler was a T50 at 6 under and averaged less than eight fairways per round.
Although he hit 10 fairways in the first round, the return hit Hossler’s driver as expected, as he has failed to exceed that total in the past two rounds. On the tour this season, he ranks 141st in teeing accuracy at 55.5 percent.
This ranking is not an outlier based on a small sample size, as he was only 179th (52.1%) last season and 165th (56.3%) the year before. Given the lack of accurate serve the past three years and the poor accuracy of the past two rounds, there’s no reason to expect Hossler to improve on Sunday.
I wouldn’t play this total below 7.5.